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Should I start Nico Collins or Demarcus Robinson in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 2:21 PM ET.

Start Nico Collins: 71 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Demarcus Robinson's 49 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR31 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
14.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
79

WR32 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs anytime td line 1-13

Market-based projection
8.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
80

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nico Collins, and the board ranks him 79th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Demarcus Robinson, and the board ranks him 80th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 2.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Demarcus Robinson is 2.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Nico Collins's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Nico Collins has been on the field for 71 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 36 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 12.0 air yards.

In Week 6 against JAX he carried 1 time for 5 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 74 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYG he caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LAC he caught 4 of 4 targets for 55 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Demarcus Robinson has been on the field for 49 percent of SF snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 22 third down targets, had 1 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 3 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 10.7 air yards.

In Week 1 against LAR he caught 2 of 3 targets for 50 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 2 against MIA he caught 3 of 3 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LV he caught 3 of 4 targets for 22 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Nico Collins played 15 games and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 8.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 15.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Demarcus Robinson played 14 games and scored 58.2 PPR points, 4.2 a game, finishing WR99.

He caught 22 of 35 targets for 276 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets.

That came to 2-3 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Nico Collins was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Nico Collins scored 15.1 PPR points a game and Demarcus Robinson 4.2, 10.9 a game between them.

Nico Collins finished WR8 that year and Demarcus Robinson WR99.

Nico Collins had 85 more targets than Demarcus Robinson, 120 to 35.

Nico Collins had 841 more receiving yards than Demarcus Robinson, 1117 to 276.

This season Nico Collins holds the bigger snap share, 71 percent against 49 percent.

This season Nico Collins holds the bigger target share, 20 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 8, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Should I drop Nico Collins?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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