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Should I start Tony Pollard or DeVonta Smith in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 8:21 PM ET.

Start DeVonta Smith: 84 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Tony Pollard's 57 percent of the snaps and 74 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tony Pollard for DeVonta Smith?

Yes, on the rest of the season. DeVonta Smith projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB17 · TEN · bye 9

2026 vs carries line 4-2

Overall rank
25

WR7 · PHI · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 2-2

Market-based projection
16.2 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tony Pollard, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeVonta Smith, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 11; 2QB: ADP 28.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tony Pollard is 13.5 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is 90 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

DeVonta Smith's market-based projection is 16.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 28th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Tony Pollard's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Tony Pollard has been on the field for 55 percent of TEN snaps, taken 67 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 48 third down targets, had 6 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 1.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against BAL he carried 16 times for 48 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 2 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against HOU he carried 14 times for 52 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against IND he carried 19 times for 76 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has been on the field for 86 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 33 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 41 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 2 against TEN he caught 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CAR he caught 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tony Pollard played 17 games and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He carried 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 more yards.

That came to 14.2 carries a game at 5 yards a carry and 1.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 DeVonta Smith played 17 games and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 13.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 DeVonta Smith scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Tony Pollard 10.9, 0.9 a game between them.

Tony Pollard finished RB23 and DeVonta Smith WR20, which are two different ladders.

Tony Pollard is a running back and DeVonta Smith a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Tony Pollard is off in Week 9 and DeVonta Smith in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Tony Pollard has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tony Pollard for DeVonta Smith?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. DeVonta Smith projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop DeVonta Smith for Tony Pollard?

    No. Keep DeVonta Smith: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 10 games), Tony Pollard 99 (9.9 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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