Should I start DeVonta Smith or Tory Horton in Week 7?

The market-based projections

DeVonta Smith's market-based projection is 16.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 26th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Tory Horton's market-based projection is 3.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 146th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeVonta Smith, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 11; 2QB: ADP 28.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tory Horton, and the board ranks him 172nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has been on the field for 86 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 33 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 41 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 2 against TEN he caught 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CAR he caught 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Tory Horton has been on the field for 28 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 0 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 8.4 air yards.

In Week 4 against LAC he caught 1 of 1 target for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against SF he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against DEN he caught 1 of 5 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 DeVonta Smith played 17 games and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 13.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tory Horton played 8 games and scored 65.1 PPR points, 8.1 a game, finishing WR96.

He caught 13 of 22 targets for 161 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 2.8 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 12.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

DeVonta Smith was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 DeVonta Smith scored 11.9 PPR points a game and Tory Horton 8.1, 3.7 a game between them.

DeVonta Smith finished WR20 that year and Tory Horton WR96.

DeVonta Smith had 91 more targets than Tory Horton, 113 to 22.

DeVonta Smith had 847 more receiving yards than Tory Horton, 1008 to 161.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger snap share, 86 percent against 28 percent.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger target share, 33 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

DeVonta Smith is off in Week 10. No bye is listed for Tory Horton.

What would change the answer

13.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.