Should I start Pat Freiermuth or Drew Sample in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Pat Freiermuth's market-based projection is 6.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 39th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Drew Sample's market-based projection is 2.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 80th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Pat Freiermuth, and the board ranks him 43rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Drew Sample, and the board ranks him 81st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Pat Freiermuth has been on the field for 65 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 3 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 8.5 air yards.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NO he caught 2 of 4 targets for 20 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Drew Sample has been on the field for 51 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 0 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 0.9 air yards.

In Week 7 against BAL he caught 2 of 2 targets for 24 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against TEN he was not given the ball.

In Week 9 against ATL he was not given the ball.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Pat Freiermuth played 17 games and scored 113.6 PPR points, 6.7 a game, finishing TE25.

He caught 41 of 54 targets for 486 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 3.2 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 11.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Drew Sample played 17 games and scored 31.9 PPR points, 1.9 a game, finishing TE64.

He caught 15 of 20 targets for 106 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 1.2 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 7.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Pat Freiermuth scored 6.7 PPR points a game and Drew Sample 1.9, 4.8 a game between them.

Pat Freiermuth finished TE25 that year and Drew Sample TE64.

Pat Freiermuth had 34 more targets than Drew Sample, 54 to 20.

Pat Freiermuth had 380 more receiving yards than Drew Sample, 486 to 106.

This season Pat Freiermuth holds the bigger snap share, 65 percent against 51 percent.

This season Pat Freiermuth holds the bigger target share, 13 percent against 3 percent.

Byes and availability

Pat Freiermuth is off in Week 9. No bye is listed for Drew Sample.

What would change the answer

3.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.