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Should I start Mack Hollins or Efton Chism III in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 12:06 PM ET.

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  • : Mack Hollins: IR to Questionable (Calf) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Efton Chism III: 67 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Mack Hollins's 60 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR45 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
7.8 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
109

WR68 · NE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-6

Market-based projection
5.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
160

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Mack Hollins, and the board ranks him 109th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Efton Chism III, and the board ranks him 160th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Mack Hollins is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Mack Hollins's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Mack Hollins has been on the field for 64 percent of NE snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 26 targets have averaged 14.7 air yards.

In Week 3 against JAX he caught 6 of 9 targets for 87 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against BUF he caught 3 of 4 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against GB he caught 3 of 6 targets for 36 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Efton Chism III has been on the field for 67 percent of NE snaps, drawn 13 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 14 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have averaged 6.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against CHI he caught 1 of 1 target for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against MIA he caught 5 of 5 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against GB he caught 5 of 5 targets for 49 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Mack Hollins played 15 games and scored 113.4 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing WR58.

He caught 46 of 65 targets for 550 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 4.3 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 12.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Efton Chism III played 8 games and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 0.4 targets a game, a 100 percent catch rate and 25.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Mack Hollins was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Mack Hollins scored 7.6 PPR points a game and Efton Chism III 2.1, 5.5 a game between them.

Mack Hollins had 62 more targets than Efton Chism III, 65 to 3.

Mack Hollins had 475 more receiving yards than Efton Chism III, 550 to 75.

This season Efton Chism III holds the bigger snap share, 67 percent against 64 percent.

This season Mack Hollins holds the bigger target share, 17 percent against 13 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 11, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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