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Should I start George Pickens or Garrett Wilson in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:16 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects
16.2
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR
23.2
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
54 of 100 at WR
Snap share
90%
Through Week 6
Target share
29%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · DAL · at PHI

Market projects
13.7
fantasy pts
PHI D vs WR
38.3
3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
88 of 100 at WR
Snap share
85%
Through Week 6
Target share
22%
Through Week 6
Start Wilson or Pickens? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Garrett Wilson: 96 percent of the snaps and 29 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against George Pickens's 88 percent of the snaps and 19 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop George Pickens for Garrett Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), George Pickens 140 (14.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over George Pickens.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR13 · DAL · bye 14

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
13.7 pts a game

WR41 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
15.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
111

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on George Pickens, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Garrett Wilson, and the board ranks him 111th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

George Pickens's market-based projection is 13.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 37th highest figure of the 194 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Garrett Wilson is 2.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Garrett Wilson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, George Pickens has been on the field for 85 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 56 third down targets, had 3 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 52 targets have averaged 11.2 air yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 2 of 3 targets for 75 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TB he caught 9 of 13 targets for 130 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against GB he caught 6 of 11 targets for 73 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Garrett Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 1 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against CHI he caught 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CLE he caught 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 George Pickens played 17 games and scored 291.9 PPR points, 17.2 a game, finishing WR5.

He caught 93 of 137 targets for 1429 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets.

That came to 8.1 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 15.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Garrett Wilson played 7 games and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

George Pickens was available for 10 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 George Pickens scored 17.2 PPR points a game and Garrett Wilson 14.2, 3.0 a game between them.

George Pickens finished WR5 that year and Garrett Wilson WR62.

George Pickens had 78 more targets than Garrett Wilson, 137 to 59.

George Pickens had 1034 more receiving yards than Garrett Wilson, 1429 to 395.

This season Garrett Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 90 percent against 85 percent.

This season Garrett Wilson holds the bigger target share, 29 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

George Pickens is off in Week 14 and Garrett Wilson in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Garrett Wilson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop George Pickens for Garrett Wilson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), George Pickens 140 (14.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over George Pickens.

  • Should I drop Garrett Wilson for George Pickens?

    No. Keep Garrett Wilson: he projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), George Pickens 140 (14.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over George Pickens.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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