Should I start Garrett Wilson or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 12:36 PM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.

Start Garrett Wilson: 96 percent of the snaps and 29 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Michael Penix Jr.'s 98 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Garrett Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 149 (14.9 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

Garrett Wilson

WR35 · NYJ · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection: 15.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank: 84

Michael Penix Jr.

QB11 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Market-based projection: 15.3 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank: 86

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The gap

Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Garrett Wilson, and the board ranks him 84th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 86th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Garrett Wilson is 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 6 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

No season market is posted for Michael Penix Jr., so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Garrett Wilson has been on the field for 90 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 1 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 31 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against CHI he caught 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CLE he caught 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 4 of 6 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 122 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 122 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against BAL he completed 19 of 32 passes for 240 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

In Week 6 against CHI he completed 19 of 33 passes for 225 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Garrett Wilson played 7 games and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 8.4 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Michael Penix Jr. was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Garrett Wilson scored 14.2 PPR points a game and Michael Penix Jr. 13.7, 0.5 a game between them.

Garrett Wilson finished WR62 and Michael Penix Jr. QB33, which are two different ladders.

Garrett Wilson is a wide receiver and Michael Penix Jr. a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Garrett Wilson is off in Week 13 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Michael Penix Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Garrett Wilson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 149 (14.9 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Garrett Wilson for Michael Penix Jr.?
No. Keep Garrett Wilson: he projects 161 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 10 games), Michael Penix Jr. 149 (14.9 a game over 10 games). Michael Penix Jr. is listed questionable.