Should I start Josh Allen or Germie Bernard in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Josh Allen's market-based projection is 23.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 2nd highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Germie Bernard's market-based projection is 11.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 59th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Allen, and the board ranks him 36th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Germie Bernard, and the board ranks him 37th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 9, Josh Allen has been on the field for 99 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 273 times and thrown 8.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 42 of 273 dropbacks and scrambled 20 times.

In Week 6 against LV he completed 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 4 yards.

In Week 8 against BAL he completed 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 7 times for 30 yards.

In Week 9 against MIN he completed 21 of 31 passes for 234 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 16 yards.

Through Week 8, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 64 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 5.1 air yards.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 12 targets for 87 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 7 against NO he caught 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CLE he caught 5 of 5 targets for 30 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

Josh Allen is a quarterback and Germie Bernard a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7 and Germie Bernard in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

11.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.