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Should I start Josh Downs or Harold Fannin Jr. in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 6:11 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Josh Downs: IND to KC (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Harold Fannin Jr.: 84 percent of the snaps and 22 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Josh Downs's 80 percent of the snaps and 18 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR75 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-8

Market-based projection
10.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
136

TE30 · CLE · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 3-6

Market-based projection
10.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
189

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The gap

  • Board size309 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 136th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Harold Fannin Jr., and the board ranks him 189th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 1.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market has Harold Fannin Jr. at 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Josh Downs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 18 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 57 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against DAL he caught 3 of 6 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Harold Fannin Jr. has been on the field for 84 percent of CLE snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 23 targets have averaged 5.4 air yards.

In Week 7 against TEN he caught 6 of 9 targets for 91 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PIT he caught 10 of 12 targets for 154 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NO he caught 2 of 2 targets for 42 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Harold Fannin Jr. played 16 games and scored 186.4 PPR points, 11.7 a game, finishing TE6.

He caught 72 of 107 targets for 731 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.7 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 10.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 16 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Harold Fannin Jr. scored 11.7 PPR points a game and Josh Downs 8.5, 3.1 a game between them.

Josh Downs finished WR44 and Harold Fannin Jr. TE6, which are two different ladders.

Josh Downs is a wide receiver and Harold Fannin Jr. a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Downs is off in Week 5 and Harold Fannin Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Should I drop Josh Downs?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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