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Should I start Isaiah Likely or Ollie Gordon II in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 12:26 AM ET.

Start Isaiah Likely: his market-based projection is 2.6 points a game ahead of Ollie Gordon II's this season.

Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Ollie Gordon II?

Not on these numbers alone. Isaiah Likely projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games) and Ollie Gordon II 109 (9.9 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE4 · NYG · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
12.3 pts a game

RB21 · MIA · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 3-2

Market-based projection
9.7 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference2.6 points a game
  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Isaiah Likely's market-based projection is 12.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 65th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Ollie Gordon II's market-based projection is 9.7 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 86th highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Isaiah Likely, and the board ranks him 49th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ollie Gordon II, and the board ranks him 48th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely has been on the field for 74 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 29 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 55 third down targets, had 2 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 27 two minute targets.

His 59 targets have averaged 8.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 7 of 12 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against NO he caught 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has been on the field for 48 percent of MIA snaps, taken 36 percent of the carries, drawn 4 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 5 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 5 targets have come 3.2 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against KC he carried 17 times for 41 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against MIN he carried 9 times for 100 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against CIN he carried 18 times for 88 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Isaiah Likely played 14 games and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 2.6 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 11.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ollie Gordon II played 17 games and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He carried 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 more yards.

That came to 4.1 carries a game at 2.8 yards a carry and 0.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Isaiah Likely scored 4.4 PPR points a game and Ollie Gordon II 3.2, 1.2 a game between them.

Isaiah Likely finished TE45 and Ollie Gordon II RB68, which are two different ladders.

Isaiah Likely is a tight end and Ollie Gordon II a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Isaiah Likely is off in Week 8 and Ollie Gordon II in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Ollie Gordon II?

    Not on these numbers alone. Isaiah Likely projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games) and Ollie Gordon II 109 (9.9 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

  • Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Isaiah Likely?

    Not on these numbers alone. Ollie Gordon II projects 109 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.9 a game over 11 games) and Isaiah Likely 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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