Should I start Jahmyr Gibbs or Patrick Mahomes in Week 7?
Updated Oct 20, 4:11 AM ET. Week 8 answers post Tuesday.
Start Patrick Mahomes: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jahmyr Gibbs's 76 percent of the snaps and 80 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Jahmyr Gibbs?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 278 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (25.3 a game over 11 games), Patrick Mahomes 195 (17.7 a game over 11 games).
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
RB10 · DET · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 3-2
- Overall rank
- 35
QB6 · KC · bye 5
2026 vs pass yds line 3-2
- Overall rank
- 36
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The gap
- Board size297 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Jahmyr Gibbs, and the board ranks him 35th overall on the rest of his evidence.
By format he goes standard: ADP 1; 2QB: ADP 1.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 36th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Jahmyr Gibbs is 8.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 5 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market-based projection for Patrick Mahomes is 16.8 PPR points a game off 3 markets across 4 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Jahmyr Gibbs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season so far
Through Week 5, Jahmyr Gibbs has been on the field for 77 percent of DET snaps, taken 82 percent of the carries, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 50 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 6 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 13 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 21 two minute targets.
His 34 targets have averaged 1.4 air yards.
In Week 3 against NYJ he carried 20 times for 99 yards, caught 7 of 8 targets for 65 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.
In Week 4 against CAR he carried 15 times for 46 yards, caught 4 of 7 targets for 22 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
In Week 5 against ARI he carried 25 times for 151 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 56 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.
Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 174 times and thrown 6.3 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 174 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.
In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.
In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.
In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Jahmyr Gibbs played 17 games and scored 366.9 PPR points, 21.6 a game, finishing RB3.
He carried 243 times for 1223 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 77 of 94 targets for 616 more yards.
That came to 14.3 carries a game at 5.0 yards a carry and 4-5 catches a game.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Jahmyr Gibbs was available for 3 games more.
Side by side
In 2025 Jahmyr Gibbs scored 21.6 PPR points a game and Patrick Mahomes 21.2, 0.4 a game between them.
Jahmyr Gibbs finished RB3 and Patrick Mahomes QB11, which are two different ladders.
Jahmyr Gibbs is a running back and Patrick Mahomes a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.
Byes and availability
Jahmyr Gibbs is off in Week 6 and Patrick Mahomes in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Jahmyr Gibbs?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 278 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (25.3 a game over 11 games), Patrick Mahomes 195 (17.7 a game over 11 games).
Should I drop Jahmyr Gibbs for Patrick Mahomes?
No. Keep Jahmyr Gibbs: he projects 278 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (25.3 a game over 11 games), Patrick Mahomes 195 (17.7 a game over 11 games).
Both players in full
Week 7 on the board
- Is Jahmyr Gibbs playing Week 7?
- Is Patrick Mahomes playing Week 7?
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