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Should I start Jalen McMillan or Ted Hurst III in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 12:01 AM ET.

Start Ted Hurst III: 49 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets over their last 2 games, against Jalen McMillan's 7 percent of the snaps and 1 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

Jalen McMillan

WR · TB · on bye this week

2025 vs catches line 3-1

Overall rank
262

Ted Hurst III

WR · TB · on bye this week

2026 vs anytime td line 1-8

Market-based projection
4.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
302

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The gap

  • Board size305 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jalen McMillan, and the board ranks him 262nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst III, and the board ranks him 302nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

No season market is posted for Jalen McMillan, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

No season market is posted for Ted Hurst III, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.

Neither carries a posted market, so this page rests on the draft room and on what the two have already done.

This season so far

Through Week 3, Jalen McMillan has been on the field for 7 percent of TB snaps, drawn 1 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 20 third down targets, had 0 of its 1 chance inside the five and seen 0 of its 17 two minute targets.

His 1 target have averaged 15.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he was not given the ball.

In Week 3 against MIN he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Ted Hurst III has been on the field for 49 percent of TB snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 16 third down targets, had 1 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have averaged 13.3 air yards.

In Week 7 against CAR he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ATL he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against CHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jalen McMillan played 4 games and scored 29.9 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing WR137.

He caught 12 of 15 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 14.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ted Hurst III is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Ted Hurst III holds the bigger snap share, 49 percent against 7 percent.

This season Ted Hurst III holds the bigger target share, 7 percent against 1 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 10, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Jalen McMillan is listed as ir on the injury report.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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