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Should I start Mike Evans or Jalen Nailor in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 6:31 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Mike Evans: Questionable to Out (Achilles, Tendinitis) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Jalen Nailor: 65 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Mike Evans's 54 percent of the snaps and 27 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Mike Evans for Jalen Nailor?

Not on these numbers alone. Mike Evans projects 27 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 8 games) and Jalen Nailor 27 (3.9 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Mike Evans is listed questionable.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR43 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Overall rank
116

WR44 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 1-7

Market-based projection
3.4 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size313 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Mike Evans, and the board ranks him 116th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jalen Nailor, and the board ranks him 117th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Mike Evans is 3.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jalen Nailor's market-based projection is 3.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 121st highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

Mike Evans's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 6, Mike Evans has been on the field for 55 percent of SF snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 19 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 14.6 air yards.

In Week 4 against DEN he caught 5 of 8 targets for 76 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against SEA he caught 7 of 10 targets for 113 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against WAS he caught 3 of 5 targets for 94 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 56 percent of LV snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 1 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 42 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against LAR he caught 2 of 5 targets for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against NYJ he caught 4 of 4 targets for 38 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against SF he caught 2 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Mike Evans played 8 games and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 7.6 targets a game, a 49 percent catch rate and 12.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Nailor was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Mike Evans scored 10.6 PPR points a game and Jalen Nailor 5.9, 4.7 a game between them.

Mike Evans finished WR76 that year and Jalen Nailor WR61.

Mike Evans had 8 more targets than Jalen Nailor, 61 to 53.

Jalen Nailor had 76 more receiving yards than Mike Evans, 444 to 368.

This season Jalen Nailor holds the bigger snap share, 56 percent against 55 percent.

This season Mike Evans holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 10 percent.

Byes and availability

Mike Evans is off in Week 8 and Jalen Nailor in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Mike Evans is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

Mike Evans has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Mike Evans for Jalen Nailor?

    Not on these numbers alone. Mike Evans projects 27 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 8 games) and Jalen Nailor 27 (3.9 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Mike Evans is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Mike Evans?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jalen Nailor projects 27 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.9 a game over 7 games) and Mike Evans 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Mike Evans is listed questionable.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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