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Should I start Zay Flowers or Jalen Nailor in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 4:16 PM ET.

Start Zay Flowers: 78 percent of the snaps and 29 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Jalen Nailor's 65 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 7 games), Jalen Nailor 31 (4.4 a game over 7 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR18 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
10.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
56

WR20 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 1-7

Market-based projection
3.4 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size308 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 56th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jalen Nailor, and the board ranks him 59th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jalen Nailor's market-based projection is 3.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 5 market sources. That is the 67th highest figure of the 210 players with a market-based projection.

Zay Flowers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 67 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 64 targets have averaged 7.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against CIN he caught 8 of 11 targets for 137 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against BUF he caught 0 of 5 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 3 times for 17 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Jalen Nailor has been on the field for 56 percent of LV snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 1 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 42 two minute targets.

His 28 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against LAR he caught 2 of 5 targets for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against NYJ he caught 4 of 4 targets for 38 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against SF he caught 2 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Nailor played 17 games and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 3.1 targets a game, a 55 percent catch rate and 15.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Jalen Nailor 5.9, 8.4 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 that year and Jalen Nailor WR61.

Zay Flowers had 65 more targets than Jalen Nailor, 118 to 53.

Zay Flowers had 767 more receiving yards than Jalen Nailor, 1211 to 444.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger snap share, 67 percent against 56 percent.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 10 percent.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

Zay Flowers has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 7 games), Jalen Nailor 31 (4.4 a game over 7 games).

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Jalen Nailor?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 7 games), Jalen Nailor 31 (4.4 a game over 7 games).

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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