Should I start Tim Patrick or Josh Downs in Week 10?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tim Patrick, and the board ranks him 216th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Downs, and the board ranks him 219th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tim Patrick is 0.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 11 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Josh Downs is 0.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tim Patrick's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 7, Tim Patrick has been on the field for 60 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 23 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 7.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against CLE he caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 1 of 3 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against MIA he was not given the ball.

Through Week 9, Josh Downs has been on the field for 81 percent of IND snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 18 of the offence's 73 third down targets, had 0 of its 22 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 57 targets have averaged 9.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against MIN he caught 2 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against DAL he caught 3 of 6 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tim Patrick played 16 games and scored 51.7 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing WR107.

He caught 15 of 24 targets for 187 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 1-2 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 31 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Josh Downs played 16 games and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 5-6 targets a game, a 66 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 16 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Josh Downs scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Tim Patrick 3.2, 5.3 a game between them.

Tim Patrick finished WR107 that year and Josh Downs WR44.

Josh Downs had 64 more targets than Tim Patrick, 88 to 24.

Josh Downs had 379 more receiving yards than Tim Patrick, 566 to 187.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 60 percent.

This season Josh Downs holds the bigger target share, 20 percent against 7 percent.

Byes and availability

Tim Patrick is off in Week 13 and Josh Downs in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.