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Should I start Josh Jacobs or Zay Flowers in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 3:41 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Josh Jacobs: Questionable to Out (Finger, Surgery) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Matt LaFleur: Packers' Josh Jacobs needs surgery on finger; IR not ruled out (ESPN)
  • : Josh Jacobs: Listed Questionable (Hand) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Zay Flowers: 78 percent of the snaps and 29 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Josh Jacobs's 47 percent of the snaps and 47 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Josh Jacobs for Zay Flowers?

Not on these numbers alone. Josh Jacobs projects 90 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.9 a game over 7 games) and Zay Flowers 90 (12.8 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Josh Jacobs is listed out.

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Your next move

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB34 · GB · bye 11

2025 vs rush yds line 8-7

Market-based projection
14.6 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
105

WR41 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
10.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
108

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The gap

  • Board size313 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Josh Jacobs, and the board ranks him 105th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 108th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Josh Jacobs is 5.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Josh Jacobs's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Josh Jacobs has been on the field for 47 percent of GB snaps, taken 47 percent of the carries, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 50 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 30 third down targets, had 5 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 2.8 air yards.

In Week 7 against DET he carried 11 times for 36 yards, caught 5 of 7 targets for 55 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against CAR he carried 21 times for 39 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 13 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 9 against NE he carried 4 times for 5 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 67 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 65 third down targets, had 0 of its 25 chances inside the five and seen 11 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 64 targets have averaged 7.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against CIN he caught 8 of 11 targets for 137 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against BUF he caught 0 of 5 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 3 times for 17 yards, caught 3 of 6 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Jacobs played 15 games and scored 237.1 PPR points, 15.8 a game, finishing RB13.

He carried 234 times for 929 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 44 targets for 282 more yards.

That came to 15.6 carries a game at 4.0 yards a carry and 2.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 59 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Jacobs scored 15.8 PPR points a game and Zay Flowers 14.3, 1.5 a game between them.

Josh Jacobs finished RB13 and Zay Flowers WR7, which are two different ladders.

Josh Jacobs is a running back and Zay Flowers a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Jacobs is off in Week 11 and Zay Flowers in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Josh Jacobs is listed as out on the injury report.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Josh Jacobs for Zay Flowers?

    Not on these numbers alone. Josh Jacobs projects 90 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.9 a game over 7 games) and Zay Flowers 90 (12.8 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Josh Jacobs is listed out.

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Josh Jacobs?

    Not on these numbers alone. Zay Flowers projects 90 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 7 games) and Josh Jacobs 90 (12.9 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. Josh Jacobs is listed out.

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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