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Should I start Kaleb Johnson or Kaelon Black in Week 10?

Updated Nov 11, 2:16 AM ET.

Start Kaelon Black: 31 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Kaleb Johnson's 19 percent of the snaps and 28 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Kaelon Black?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kaelon Black projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.3 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

Kaleb Johnson

RB21 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 1-6

Overall rank
56

Kaelon Black

RB25 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
70

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The gap

  • Board size313 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaleb Johnson, and the board ranks him 56th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Kaleb Johnson is 9.1 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 7 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 7.4 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 10 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Kaleb Johnson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Kaleb Johnson has been on the field for 25 percent of GB snaps, taken 33 percent of the carries, drawn 1 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 60 third down targets, had 3 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 7 times for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 1 time for -2 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against NE he carried 14 times for 68 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Kaleb Johnson played 10 games and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He carried 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 more yards.

That came to 2.8 carries a game at 3 yards a carry and 0.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Kaelon Black holds the bigger snap share, 29 percent against 25 percent.

This season Kaleb Johnson holds the bigger share of the carries, 33 percent against 30 percent.

Byes and availability

Kaleb Johnson is off in Week 11 and Kaelon Black in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Kaelon Black?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kaelon Black projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.3 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games).

  • Should I drop Kaelon Black for Kaleb Johnson?

    No. Keep Kaelon Black: he projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.3 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games).

Should I drop Kaelon Black?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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