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Should I start Kaelon Black or Mike Gesicki in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 1:21 PM ET.

Start Mike Gesicki: 53 percent of the snaps and 9 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Kaelon Black's 31 percent of the snaps and 34 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB10 · SF · bye 8

Overall rank
36

TE7 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 6-2

Market-based projection
7.0 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaelon Black, and the board ranks him 36th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Mike Gesicki, and the board ranks him 37th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Kaelon Black is 8.4 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 5 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Mike Gesicki's market-based projection is 7.0 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 33rd highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

Kaelon Black's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Kaelon Black has been on the field for 29 percent of SF snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 3 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 57 third down targets, had 3 of its 28 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 30 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have come 2.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against WAS he carried 8 times for 34 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 3 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against ATL he carried 12 times for 63 yards, caught 1 of 3 targets for -4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against LV he carried 11 times for 70 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Mike Gesicki has been on the field for 48 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 3 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 26 targets have averaged 10.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against BAL he caught 1 of 1 target for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against TEN he caught 4 of 6 targets for 76 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against ATL he caught 2 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

Kaelon Black is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

In 2025 Mike Gesicki played 13 games and scored 70.7 PPR points, 5.4 a game, finishing TE41.

He caught 28 of 42 targets for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.2 targets a game, a 67 percent catch rate and 11.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 38 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Side by side

Kaelon Black is a running back and Mike Gesicki a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Kaelon Black is off in Week 8 and Mike Gesicki in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Kaelon Black has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Mike Gesicki?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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