Should I start Rico Dowdle or Kaleb Johnson in Week 10?
Updated Nov 11, 3:41 AM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Start Rico Dowdle: 38 percent of the snaps and 38 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Kaleb Johnson's 19 percent of the snaps and 28 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Rico Dowdle?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Rico Dowdle projects 46 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games).
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Your next move
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.
Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.
RB19 · PIT · bye 9
2026 vs carries line 3-2
- Market-based projection
- 9.8 pts a game
RB21 · GB · bye 11
2026 vs anytime td line 1-6
- Overall rank
- 56
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The gap
- Board size313 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Rico Dowdle, and the board ranks him 52nd overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Kaleb Johnson, and the board ranks him 56th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
Rico Dowdle's market-based projection is 9.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 69th highest figure of the 213 players with a market-based projection.
The market-based projection for Kaleb Johnson is 9.1 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 7 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Kaleb Johnson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season so far
Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle has been on the field for 40 percent of PIT snaps, taken 37 percent of the carries, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 1 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 1 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 27 two minute targets.
His 17 targets have come 0.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 6 against TB he carried 7 times for 40 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 9 yards and did not score.
In Week 7 against NO he carried 9 times for 41 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 45 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against CLE he carried 15 times for 56 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
Through Week 9, Kaleb Johnson has been on the field for 25 percent of GB snaps, taken 33 percent of the carries, drawn 1 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 0 of the offence's 60 third down targets, had 3 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 24 two minute targets.
His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 5 against CHI he carried 7 times for 26 yards and did not score.
In Week 6 against DAL he carried 1 time for -2 yards and did not score.
In Week 9 against NE he carried 14 times for 68 yards and scored 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Rico Dowdle played 17 games and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.
He carried 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 more yards.
That came to 13.9 carries a game at 4.6 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.
He was on the field for 56 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Kaleb Johnson played 10 games and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.
He carried 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 more yards.
That came to 2.8 carries a game at 3 yards a carry and 0.1 catches a game.
He was on the field for 6 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Rico Dowdle was available for 7 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Rico Dowdle scored 12.7 PPR points a game and Kaleb Johnson 0.9, 11.8 a game between them.
Rico Dowdle finished RB18 that year and Kaleb Johnson RB115.
Rico Dowdle had 208 more carries than Kaleb Johnson, 236 to 28.
Rico Dowdle had 38 more catches than Kaleb Johnson, 39 to 1.
This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger snap share, 40 percent against 25 percent.
This season Rico Dowdle holds the bigger share of the carries, 37 percent against 33 percent.
Byes and availability
Rico Dowdle is off in Week 9 and Kaleb Johnson in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.
What would change the answer
Kaleb Johnson has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Rico Dowdle?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Rico Dowdle projects 46 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games).
Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Kaleb Johnson?
No. Keep Rico Dowdle: he projects 46 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games).
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Rico Dowdle playing Week 10?
- Is Kaleb Johnson playing Week 10?
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- Packers depth chart
- Week 10 RB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
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