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Should I start Zay Flowers or MarShawn Lloyd in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 6:26 PM ET.

Start Zay Flowers: 81 percent of the snaps and 33 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against MarShawn Lloyd's 46 percent of the snaps and 36 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR38 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection
13.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
95

RB34 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Market-based projection
11.8 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
97

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 95th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on MarShawn Lloyd, and the board ranks him 97th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 48.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 3.2 PPR points a game off 1 market across 11 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Zay Flowers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 61 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 31 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 1 time for 13 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd has been on the field for 39 percent of GB snaps, taken 41 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 64 third down targets, had 3 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against TB he carried 7 times for 13 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against CHI he carried 10 times for 31 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against DAL he carried 8 times for 10 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

The season feed carries no line for MarShawn Lloyd in the last completed season.

Side by side

Zay Flowers is a wide receiver and MarShawn Lloyd a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and MarShawn Lloyd in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for MarShawn Lloyd?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 146 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.6 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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