Should I start Michael Mayer or Ted Hurst III in Week 7?

The market-based projections

Michael Mayer's market-based projection is 7.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 110th highest figure of the 222 players with a market-based projection.

Ted Hurst III's market-based projection is 7.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 111th highest figure of the 222 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Mayer, and the board ranks him 116th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst III, and the board ranks him 118th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Michael Mayer has been on the field for 81 percent of LV snaps, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 1 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 36 two minute targets.

His 34 targets have averaged 4.5 air yards.

In Week 4 against KC he caught 8 of 10 targets for 82 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NE he caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 7 of 9 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Ted Hurst III has been on the field for 59 percent of TB snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Mayer played 13 games and scored 73.8 PPR points, 5.7 a game, finishing TE38.

He caught 35 of 50 targets for 328 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 9.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ted Hurst III is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Side by side

Michael Mayer is a tight end and Ted Hurst III a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Michael Mayer is off in Week 13 and Ted Hurst III in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.