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Should I start Theo Johnson or Michael Mayer in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 12:21 PM ET.

Start Michael Mayer: 80 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Theo Johnson's 35 percent of the snaps and 4 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

TE28 · NYG · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
1.6 pts a game

TE30 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 1-8

Market-based projection
7.7 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
162

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Theo Johnson, and the board ranks him 155th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Mayer, and the board ranks him 162nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Theo Johnson's market-based projection is 1.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 143rd highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Michael Mayer is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Michael Mayer's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Theo Johnson has been on the field for 33 percent of NYG snaps, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 2 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 59 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 25 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 10.8 air yards.

In Week 4 against ARI he caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against WAS he caught 2 of 3 targets for 35 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against PHI he was not given the ball.

Through Week 9, Michael Mayer has been on the field for 81 percent of LV snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 84 third down targets, had 2 of its 27 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 43 two minute targets.

His 46 targets have averaged 5.2 air yards.

In Week 7 against LAR he caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against NYJ he caught 5 of 6 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against SF he caught 3 of 3 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Theo Johnson played 15 games and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.

He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets.

That came to 4.9 targets a game, a 61 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Mayer played 13 games and scored 73.8 PPR points, 5.7 a game, finishing TE38.

He caught 35 of 50 targets for 328 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 9.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Theo Johnson was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Theo Johnson scored 8.5 PPR points a game and Michael Mayer 5.7, 2.8 a game between them.

Theo Johnson finished TE18 that year and Michael Mayer TE38.

Theo Johnson had 24 more targets than Michael Mayer, 74 to 50.

Theo Johnson had 200 more receiving yards than Michael Mayer, 528 to 328.

This season Michael Mayer holds the bigger snap share, 81 percent against 33 percent.

This season Michael Mayer holds the bigger target share, 15 percent against 5 percent.

Byes and availability

Michael Mayer is off in Week 13. No bye is listed for Theo Johnson.

What would change the answer

Michael Mayer has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Should I drop Michael Mayer?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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