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Should I start Michael Penix Jr. or Tre Tucker in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 10:31 PM ET.

Start Michael Penix Jr.: his market-based projection is 5.8 points a game ahead of Tre Tucker's this season.

Should I drop Tre Tucker for Michael Penix Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Penix Jr. projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 10 games), Tre Tucker 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games).

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

QB17 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 2-2

Market-based projection
14.9 pts a game

WR25 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
9.1 pts a game

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The gap

  • Price difference5.8 points a game
  • Board size301 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from the market projection.

The market-based projections

Michael Penix Jr.'s market-based projection is 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 5 market sources. That is the 37th highest figure of the 196 players with a market-based projection.

Tre Tucker's market-based projection is 9.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 63rd highest figure of the 196 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 112th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tre Tucker, and the board ranks him 43rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 122 times and thrown 7.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 122 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

In Week 5 against BAL he completed 19 of 32 passes for 240 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 8 yards.

In Week 6 against CHI he completed 19 of 33 passes for 225 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

Through Week 6, Tre Tucker has been on the field for 66 percent of LV snaps, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 10 of the offence's 61 third down targets, had 0 of its 15 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 36 two minute targets.

His 35 targets have averaged 14.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against KC he caught 4 of 8 targets for 44 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NE he carried 2 times for -6 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 41 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against BUF he caught 5 of 7 targets for 97 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tre Tucker played 17 games and scored 161.7 PPR points, 9.5 a game, finishing WR38.

He caught 57 of 92 targets for 696 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tre Tucker was available for 8 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Tre Tucker 9.5, 4.2 a game between them.

Michael Penix Jr. finished QB33 and Tre Tucker WR38, which are two different ladders.

Michael Penix Jr. is a quarterback and Tre Tucker a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Michael Penix Jr. is off in Week 11 and Tre Tucker in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Michael Penix Jr. is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

5.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tre Tucker for Michael Penix Jr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Michael Penix Jr. projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 10 games), Tre Tucker 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Tre Tucker?

    No. Keep Michael Penix Jr.: he projects 150 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 10 games), Tre Tucker 91 (9.1 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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