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Should I start Zay Flowers or Patrick Mahomes in Week 7?

Updated Oct 20, 5:06 PM ET.

Start Patrick Mahomes: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Zay Flowers's 81 percent of the snaps and 33 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Zay Flowers for Patrick Mahomes?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 191 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 11 games), Zay Flowers 146 (14.6 a game over 10 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR35 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs anytime td line 2-3

Market-based projection
13.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
86

QB12 · KC · bye 5

2026 vs pass yds line 3-2

Market-based projection
16.4 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size299 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zay Flowers, and the board ranks him 86th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Patrick Mahomes, and the board ranks him 87th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 3.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Patrick Mahomes's market-based projection is 16.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 14th highest figure of the 184 players with a market-based projection.

Zay Flowers's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 61 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 31 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 0 of its 24 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 32 two minute targets.

His 42 targets have averaged 8.9 air yards.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against ATL he carried 1 time for 13 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Patrick Mahomes has been on the field for 100 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 174 times and thrown 6.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 174 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 3 against MIA he completed 20 of 24 passes for 246 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 4 against LV he completed 15 of 30 passes for 225 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 6 against LAC he completed 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes played 14 games and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He threw for 3587 yards on 502 attempts with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 35.9 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Patrick Mahomes scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Zay Flowers 14.3, 6.9 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 and Patrick Mahomes QB11, which are two different ladders.

Zay Flowers is a wide receiver and Patrick Mahomes a quarterback, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and Patrick Mahomes in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Zay Flowers has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Patrick Mahomes?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 191 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 11 games), Zay Flowers 146 (14.6 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Zay Flowers?

    No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 191 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 11 games), Zay Flowers 146 (14.6 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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