Should I start Tee Higgins or Van Jefferson in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Tee Higgins's market-based projection is 16.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 8th highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

Van Jefferson's market-based projection is 4.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 54th highest figure of the 208 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tee Higgins, and the board ranks him 10th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Van Jefferson, and the board ranks him 51st overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Tee Higgins has been on the field for 78 percent of CIN snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 17 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 1 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 12 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 67 targets have averaged 13.0 air yards.

In Week 7 against BAL he caught 6 of 7 targets for 148 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against TEN he caught 10 of 11 targets for 155 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 9 against ATL he caught 5 of 6 targets for 32 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 9, Van Jefferson has been on the field for 25 percent of WAS snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 24 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 8 targets have averaged 11.6 air yards.

In Week 5 against NYG he was not given the ball.

In Week 8 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LAR he caught 5 of 7 targets for 58 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tee Higgins played 15 games and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.

He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 14.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Van Jefferson played 16 games and scored 70.0 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing WR88.

He caught 29 of 52 targets for 350 yards and 1 touchdown, with 2 red zone targets.

That came to 3.3 targets a game, a 56 percent catch rate and 12.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Van Jefferson was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Tee Higgins scored 14.1 PPR points a game and Van Jefferson 4.4, 9.7 a game between them.

Tee Higgins finished WR15 that year and Van Jefferson WR88.

Tee Higgins had 46 more targets than Van Jefferson, 98 to 52.

Tee Higgins had 496 more receiving yards than Van Jefferson, 846 to 350.

This season Tee Higgins holds the bigger snap share, 78 percent against 25 percent.

This season Tee Higgins holds the bigger target share, 23 percent against 10 percent.

Byes and availability

Tee Higgins is off in Week 6 and Van Jefferson in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

12.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.