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Should I start Tim Patrick or Zachariah Branch in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 11:21 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects
3.2
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR
23.2
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
13 of 100 at WR
Snap share
82%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · ATL · vs SF

Market projects
2.4
recent weeks avg
SF D vs WR
29.9
10th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
24%
Through Week 6
Target share
6%
Through Week 6
Start Patrick or Branch? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Tim Patrick: 82 percent of the snaps and 10 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Zachariah Branch's 25 percent of the snaps and 7 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR80 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 3-13

Market-based projection
4.0 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
183

WR81 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Market-based projection
3.3 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
184

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The gap

  • Board size304 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tim Patrick, and the board ranks him 183rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Zachariah Branch, and the board ranks him 184th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Tim Patrick is 0.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 2 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Zachariah Branch is 0.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tim Patrick's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Tim Patrick has been on the field for 82 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 14 third down targets and seen 3 of its 10 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 7.7 air yards.

In Week 5 against CLE he caught 2 of 3 targets for 26 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against NE he caught 1 of 3 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, Zachariah Branch has been on the field for 24 percent of ATL snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 47 third down targets, had 0 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 1.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against NO he caught 2 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against BAL he caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CHI he caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tim Patrick played 16 games and scored 51.7 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing WR107.

He caught 15 of 24 targets for 187 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 1-2 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 13 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 31 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zachariah Branch is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Tim Patrick holds the bigger snap share, 82 percent against 24 percent.

This season Tim Patrick holds the bigger target share, 10 percent against 6 percent.

Byes and availability

Tim Patrick is off in Week 13 and Zachariah Branch in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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