Aaron Gordon or Kelly Oubre Jr.? Week 1
Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), PFs ranked 20th and 23rd at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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The Week 1 call
Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Aaron Gordon. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 28.7 fantasy points to 26.0.
9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. instead, -2.9 category value for the week to -3.5, because his category mix is worth more there.
Aaron Gordon's minutes are up: 30.7 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.9 on the board.
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s minutes are down: 27.7 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 31.3 on the board.
This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.
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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side
| This week | Aaron Gordon | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Games, Week 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Games counted (left this week) | 2 | 2 |
| Back-to-backs | 0 | 0 |
| Games, Week 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Minutes, last games | 30.7 (last 5) | 27.7 (last 1) |
| Minutes, board | 27.9 | 31.3 |
| Shots per 36, last games | 12.0 | 6.5 |
| Injury | None listed | None listed |
| Projected fantasy points | 57.3 | 52.0 |
| Projected 9-cat value | -3.5 | -2.9 |
Schedule: Aaron Gordon Thu @OKC, Sat NOP. Kelly Oubre Jr. Wed @NOP, Fri DAL, Sun @BKN.
Projected totals for the games counted
| Stat | Aaron Gordon | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 32.3 | 26.9 |
| Rebounds | 11.6 | 9.7 |
| Assists | 5.3 | 3.4 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| Blocks | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Threes | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.1 | 2.7 |
Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.
The season-long call
Points leagues: Aaron Gordon, 28.7 fantasy points per game to 26.0.
9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. instead, 106th overall against 121st, because the categories reward a different mix.
Per game, side by side
| Stat | Aaron Gordon | Kelly Oubre Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 28.7 | 26.0 |
| Minutes | 27.9 | 31.3 |
| PointsPTS | 16.2 | 13.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 5.8 | 4.8 |
| AssistsAST | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| StealsSTL | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Threes3PM | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Field goal %FG% | 49.7% | 46.5% |
| Free throw %FT% | 76.7% | 76.6% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 1.4 |
Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.
Other close calls
Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week
Is Aaron Gordon playing tonight? · Is Kelly Oubre Jr. playing tonight?
Your next move
Common questions
Should I start Aaron Gordon or Kelly Oubre Jr. in Week 1?
Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Aaron Gordon. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 28.7 fantasy points to 26.0. 9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. instead, -2.9 category value for the week to -3.5, because his category mix is worth more there. Aaron Gordon's minutes are up: 30.7 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.9 on the board. Kelly Oubre Jr.'s minutes are down: 27.7 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 31.3 on the board.
Who is better for the season, Aaron Gordon or Kelly Oubre Jr.?
Points leagues: Aaron Gordon, 28.7 fantasy points per game to 26.0. 9-cat leagues: Kelly Oubre Jr. instead, 106th overall against 121st, because the categories reward a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Aaron Gordon or Kelly Oubre Jr.?
Aaron Gordon is ahead in 6 (points, rebounds, assists, threes, field goal percentage, turnovers); Kelly Oubre Jr. in 3 (steals, blocks, free throw percentage), per game.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number