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Aaron Gordon or Tobias Harris? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), PFs ranked 20th and 22nd at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 22, 5:55 PM ET.

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FP/G
28.7
9-cat
#121
Last 10 FP
27.1

2 games in Week 1

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

FP/G
26.2
9-cat
#102
Last 10 FP
29.0

Day to day (Calf)

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Aaron Gordon. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 28.7 fantasy points to 26.2.

9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, -2.6 category value for the week to -3.5, because his category mix is worth more there.

Tobias Harris has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Aaron Gordon's minutes are up: 30.7 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.9 on the board.

Tobias Harris's minutes are down: 20.5 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.7 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Aaron Gordon rookie cardsTobias Harris rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekAaron GordonTobias Harris
Games, Week 123
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 233
Minutes, last games30.7 (last 5)20.5 (last 5)
Minutes, board27.927.7
Shots per 36, last games12.013.7
InjuryNone listedDay to day (Calf)
Projected fantasy points57.352.3
Projected 9-cat value-3.5-2.6

Schedule: Aaron Gordon Thu @OKC, Sat NOP. Tobias Harris Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatAaron GordonTobias Harris
Points32.326.5
Rebounds11.610.3
Assists5.35.0
Steals1.21.8
Blocks0.60.8
Threes3.42.6
Turnovers2.12.0

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Aaron Gordon, 28.7 fantasy points per game to 26.2.

9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, 102nd overall against 121st, because the categories reward a different mix.

Per game, side by side

StatAaron GordonTobias Harris
Fantasy points per game28.726.2
Minutes27.927.7
PointsPTS16.213.3
ReboundsREB5.85.1
AssistsAST2.72.5
StealsSTL0.60.9
BlocksBLK0.30.4
Threes3PM1.71.3
Field goal %FG%49.7%46.9%
Free throw %FT%76.7%86.6%
TurnoversTO1.11.0

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Aaron Gordon playing tonight? · Is Tobias Harris playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Aaron Gordon or Tobias Harris in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Aaron Gordon. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 28.7 fantasy points to 26.2. 9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, -2.6 category value for the week to -3.5, because his category mix is worth more there. Tobias Harris has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Aaron Gordon's minutes are up: 30.7 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.9 on the board. Tobias Harris's minutes are down: 20.5 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.7 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Aaron Gordon or Tobias Harris?

    Points leagues: Aaron Gordon, 28.7 fantasy points per game to 26.2. 9-cat leagues: Tobias Harris instead, 102nd overall against 121st, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Aaron Gordon or Tobias Harris?

    Aaron Gordon is ahead in 5 (points, rebounds, assists, threes, field goal percentage); Tobias Harris in 4 (steals, blocks, free throw percentage, turnovers), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 5:55 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number