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Ace Bailey or Grayson Allen? Week 3

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), SFs ranked 20th and 22nd at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET.

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FP/G
26.0
9-cat
#149
Last 7 FP
28.9

4 games in Week 3

Week 3 pick in points leagues.

FP/G
26.6
9-cat
#92
Last 8 FP
22.1

3 games in Week 3

Week 3 pick in 9-cat leagues.

The Week 3 call

Points leagues, Week 3 (Nov 2-8): start Ace Bailey. Ace Bailey has 3 games counted to 2 for Grayson Allen, for 77.9 projected fantasy points against 53.3.

9-cat leagues: Grayson Allen instead, -2.2 category value for the week to -7.0, because his category mix is worth more there.

Ace Bailey's minutes are up: 32.8 a game over his last 5 games of 2026-27, against 28.4 on the board.

Grayson Allen's minutes are down: 25.6 a game over his last 5 games of 2026-27, against 27.9 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Ace Bailey rookie cards

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Week 3 (Nov 2-8), side by side

This weekAce BaileyGrayson Allen
Games, Week 343
Games counted (left this week)32
Back-to-backs00
Games, Week 443
Minutes, last games32.8 (last 5)25.6 (last 5)
Minutes, board28.427.9
Shots per 36, last games13.212.6
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points77.953.3
Projected 9-cat value-7.0-2.2

Schedule: Ace Bailey Mon @SAS, Wed @NOP, Fri @DAL, Sun @MIN. Grayson Allen Mon DET, Wed @BKN, Fri BOS.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatAce BaileyGrayson Allen
Points39.831.9
Rebounds15.86.0
Assists5.86.7
Steals2.12.1
Blocks2.90.6
Threes5.36.4
Turnovers4.53.9

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Grayson Allen, 26.6 fantasy points per game to 26.0.

9-cat leagues: Grayson Allen again, 92nd overall against 149th.

Per game, side by side

StatAce BaileyGrayson Allen
Fantasy points per game26.026.6
Minutes28.427.9
PointsPTS13.315.9
ReboundsREB5.33.0
AssistsAST1.93.4
StealsSTL0.71.1
BlocksBLK1.00.3
Threes3PM1.83.2
Field goal %FG%44.7%41.9%
Free throw %FT%75.0%88.0%
TurnoversTO1.52.0

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 3 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Ace Bailey playing tonight? · Is Grayson Allen playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Ace Bailey or Grayson Allen in Week 3?

    Points leagues, Week 3 (Nov 2-8): start Ace Bailey. Ace Bailey has 3 games counted to 2 for Grayson Allen, for 77.9 projected fantasy points against 53.3. 9-cat leagues: Grayson Allen instead, -2.2 category value for the week to -7.0, because his category mix is worth more there. Ace Bailey's minutes are up: 32.8 a game over his last 5 games of 2026-27, against 28.4 on the board. Grayson Allen's minutes are down: 25.6 a game over his last 5 games of 2026-27, against 27.9 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Ace Bailey or Grayson Allen?

    Points leagues: Grayson Allen, 26.6 fantasy points per game to 26.0. 9-cat leagues: Grayson Allen again, 92nd overall against 149th.

  • Who wins more categories, Ace Bailey or Grayson Allen?

    Ace Bailey is ahead in 4 (rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage, turnovers); Grayson Allen in 5 (points, assists, steals, threes, free throw percentage), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 4:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number