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Alex Sarr or Zion Williamson? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cs ranked 10th and 11th at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 21, 10:56 PM ET.

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FP/G
35.9
9-cat
#46
Last 10 FP
27.3

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
35.2
9-cat
#101
Last 10 FP
30.5

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Alex Sarr. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 35.9 fantasy points to 35.2.

9-cat leagues: Alex Sarr again, 1.4 category value for the week to -2.6.

Alex Sarr has 1 back-to-back and Zion Williamson has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Alex Sarr's minutes are down: 22.2 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.2 on the board.

Zion Williamson played 28.3 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 29.7 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Alex Sarr rookie cardsZion Williamson rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekAlex SarrZion Williamson
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs11
Games, Week 233
Minutes, last games22.2 (last 5)28.3 (last 5)
Minutes, board27.229.7
Shots per 36, last games17.812.7
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points71.870.3
Projected 9-cat value1.4-2.6

Schedule: Alex Sarr Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI. Zion Williamson Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatAlex SarrZion Williamson
Points32.642.0
Rebounds14.811.4
Assists5.46.4
Steals1.61.9
Blocks4.01.1
Threes2.10.0
Turnovers3.44.1

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Alex Sarr, 35.9 fantasy points per game to 35.2.

9-cat leagues: Alex Sarr again, 46th overall against 101st.

Per game, side by side

StatAlex SarrZion Williamson
Fantasy points per game35.935.2
Minutes27.229.7
PointsPTS16.321.0
ReboundsREB7.45.7
AssistsAST2.73.2
StealsSTL0.81.0
BlocksBLK2.00.5
Threes3PM1.00.0
Field goal %FG%48.2%60.0%
Free throw %FT%69.2%71.6%
TurnoversTO1.72.0

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Alex Sarr playing tonight? · Is Zion Williamson playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Alex Sarr or Zion Williamson in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Alex Sarr. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 35.9 fantasy points to 35.2. 9-cat leagues: Alex Sarr again, 1.4 category value for the week to -2.6. Alex Sarr has 1 back-to-back and Zion Williamson has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Alex Sarr's minutes are down: 22.2 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 27.2 on the board. Zion Williamson played 28.3 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 29.7 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Alex Sarr or Zion Williamson?

    Points leagues: Alex Sarr, 35.9 fantasy points per game to 35.2. 9-cat leagues: Alex Sarr again, 46th overall against 101st.

  • Who wins more categories, Alex Sarr or Zion Williamson?

    Alex Sarr is ahead in 5 (rebounds, blocks, threes, free throw percentage, turnovers); Zion Williamson in 4 (points, assists, steals, field goal percentage), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 21, 2026 at 10:56 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number