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Anthony Davis or Jalen Johnson? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Cs ranked 2nd and 3rd at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 22, 11:54 AM ET.

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FP/G
45.0
9-cat
#13
Last 1 FP
60.4

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
48.0
9-cat
#19
Last 1 FP
43.8

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points leagues.

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Jalen Johnson. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 48.0 fantasy points to 45.0.

9-cat leagues: Anthony Davis instead, 6.9 category value for the week to 5.8, because his category mix is worth more there.

Anthony Davis has 1 back-to-back and Jalen Johnson has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Anthony Davis's minutes are up: 33.8 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 31.5 on the board.

Jalen Johnson's minutes are down: 27.8 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 34.7 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

Jalen Johnson rookie cards

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekAnthony DavisJalen Johnson
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs11
Games, Week 234
Minutes, last games33.8 (last 1)27.8 (last 1)
Minutes, board31.534.7
Shots per 36, last games21.324.6
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points90.195.9
Projected 9-cat value6.95.8

Schedule: Anthony Davis Wed MIL, Fri TOR, Sat @CHI. Jalen Johnson Wed @ORL, Fri @CHA, Sat HOU.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatAnthony DavisJalen Johnson
Points42.444.7
Rebounds22.221.0
Assists5.815.5
Steals2.32.3
Blocks3.20.8
Threes1.13.1
Turnovers4.26.6

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 1 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Jalen Johnson, 48.0 fantasy points per game to 45.0.

9-cat leagues: Anthony Davis instead, 13th overall against 19th, because the categories reward a different mix.

Anthony Davis vs Jalen Johnson: the full comparison, per 36 and by punt build

Per game, side by side

StatAnthony DavisJalen Johnson
Fantasy points per game45.048.0
Minutes31.534.7
PointsPTS21.222.4
ReboundsREB11.110.5
AssistsAST2.97.7
StealsSTL1.21.2
BlocksBLK1.60.4
Threes3PM0.51.6
Field goal %FG%50.9%48.0%
Free throw %FT%73.9%79.4%
TurnoversTO2.13.3

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Anthony Davis playing tonight? · Is Jalen Johnson playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Anthony Davis or Jalen Johnson in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Jalen Johnson. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 48.0 fantasy points to 45.0. 9-cat leagues: Anthony Davis instead, 6.9 category value for the week to 5.8, because his category mix is worth more there. Anthony Davis has 1 back-to-back and Jalen Johnson has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Anthony Davis's minutes are up: 33.8 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 31.5 on the board. Jalen Johnson's minutes are down: 27.8 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 34.7 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Anthony Davis or Jalen Johnson?

    Points leagues: Jalen Johnson, 48.0 fantasy points per game to 45.0. 9-cat leagues: Anthony Davis instead, 13th overall against 19th, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Anthony Davis or Jalen Johnson?

    Anthony Davis is ahead in 4 (rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage, turnovers); Jalen Johnson in 4 (points, assists, threes, free throw percentage), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 11:54 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number