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Brandon Ingram or Jimmy Butler III? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), SFs ranked 5th and 6th at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 22, 12:56 AM ET.

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FP/G
35.7
9-cat
#77
Last 10 FP
33.0

Out (Heel)

3 games in Week 1

FP/G
37.4
9-cat
#17
Last 10 FP
38.2

Out (Knee)

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

The Week 1 call

Brandon Ingram is listed Out (Heel) on Sleeper, so his projection counts no games while that stands.

Jimmy Butler III is listed Out (Knee) on Sleeper, so his projection counts no games while that stands.

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): a dead heat at 0.0 projected fantasy points each.

Brandon Ingram played 33.4 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 33.8 on the board.

Jimmy Butler III's minutes are down: 27.1 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 31.1 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekBrandon IngramJimmy Butler III
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)00
Back-to-backs01
Games, Week 234
Minutes, last games33.4 (last 5)27.1 (last 5)
Minutes, board33.831.1
Shots per 36, last games16.618.3
InjuryOut (Heel)Out (Knee)
Projected fantasy points0.00.0
Projected 9-cat value0.00.0

Schedule: Brandon Ingram Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC. Jimmy Butler III Wed @LAL, Fri MEM, Sat @PHX.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatBrandon IngramJimmy Butler III
Points0.00.0
Rebounds0.00.0
Assists0.00.0
Steals0.00.0
Blocks0.00.0
Threes0.00.0
Turnovers0.00.0

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2025-26. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Jimmy Butler III, 37.4 fantasy points per game to 35.7.

9-cat leagues: Jimmy Butler III again, 17th overall against 77th.

Per game, side by side

StatBrandon IngramJimmy Butler III
Fantasy points per game35.737.4
Minutes33.831.1
PointsPTS21.520.0
ReboundsREB5.65.6
AssistsAST3.74.9
StealsSTL0.81.4
BlocksBLK0.70.2
Threes3PM1.80.8
Field goal %FG%47.7%51.9%
Free throw %FT%82.0%86.4%
TurnoversTO2.41.6

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Brandon Ingram playing tonight? · Is Jimmy Butler III playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Brandon Ingram or Jimmy Butler III in Week 1?

    Brandon Ingram is listed Out (Heel) on Sleeper, so his projection counts no games while that stands. Jimmy Butler III is listed Out (Knee) on Sleeper, so his projection counts no games while that stands. Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): a dead heat at 0.0 projected fantasy points each. Brandon Ingram played 33.4 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, in line with his 33.8 on the board. Jimmy Butler III's minutes are down: 27.1 a game over his last 5 games of 2025-26, against 31.1 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Brandon Ingram or Jimmy Butler III?

    Points leagues: Jimmy Butler III, 37.4 fantasy points per game to 35.7. 9-cat leagues: Jimmy Butler III again, 17th overall against 77th.

  • Who wins more categories, Brandon Ingram or Jimmy Butler III?

    Brandon Ingram is ahead in 3 (points, blocks, threes); Jimmy Butler III in 5 (assists, steals, field goal percentage, free throw percentage, turnovers), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 12:56 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number