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Damian Lillard or Fred VanVleet? Week 3

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), PGs ranked 20th and 21st at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Nov 3, 4:36 AM ET.

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FP/G
31.9
9-cat
#136
Last 6 FP
31.9

4 games in Week 3, 1 back-to-back

Week 3 pick in points leagues.

FP/G
31.3
9-cat
#42
Last 6 FP
31.3

3 games in Week 3

Week 3 pick in 9-cat leagues.

The Week 3 call

Points leagues, Week 3 (Nov 2-8): start Damian Lillard. Damian Lillard has 3 games counted to 2 for Fred VanVleet, for 95.6 projected fantasy points against 62.6.

9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, 1.3 category value for the week to -6.1, because his category mix is worth more there.

Damian Lillard has 1 back-to-back in Week 3, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Damian Lillard played 30.2 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2026-27, in line with his 29.2 on the board.

Fred VanVleet played 29.9 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2026-27, in line with his 29.8 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

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Week 3 (Nov 2-8), side by side

This weekDamian LillardFred VanVleet
Games, Week 343
Games counted (left this week)32
Back-to-backs10
Games, Week 434
Minutes, last games30.2 (last 5)29.9 (last 5)
Minutes, board29.229.8
Shots per 36, last games16.913.7
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points95.662.6
Projected 9-cat value-6.11.3

Schedule: Damian Lillard Mon @DEN, Wed @PHX, Fri @LAL, Sat SAS. Fred VanVleet Mon BOS, Wed MIN, Sat @PHX.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatDamian LillardFred VanVleet
Points58.024.3
Rebounds13.07.3
Assists12.013.7
Steals3.03.3
Blocks0.50.3
Threes8.54.7
Turnovers6.52.0

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 5 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Damian Lillard, 31.9 fantasy points per game to 31.3.

9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, 42nd overall against 136th, because the categories reward a different mix.

Per game, side by side

StatDamian LillardFred VanVleet
Fantasy points per game31.931.3
Minutes29.229.8
PointsPTS19.312.2
ReboundsREB4.33.7
AssistsAST4.06.8
StealsSTL1.01.7
BlocksBLK0.20.2
Threes3PM2.82.3
Field goal %FG%39.8%36.9%
Free throw %FT%80.5%84.6%
TurnoversTO2.21.0

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 3 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Damian Lillard playing tonight? · Is Fred VanVleet playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Damian Lillard or Fred VanVleet in Week 3?

    Points leagues, Week 3 (Nov 2-8): start Damian Lillard. Damian Lillard has 3 games counted to 2 for Fred VanVleet, for 95.6 projected fantasy points against 62.6. 9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, 1.3 category value for the week to -6.1, because his category mix is worth more there. Damian Lillard has 1 back-to-back in Week 3, the nights rest days tend to land on. Damian Lillard played 30.2 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2026-27, in line with his 29.2 on the board. Fred VanVleet played 29.9 minutes a game over his last 5 games of 2026-27, in line with his 29.8 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Damian Lillard or Fred VanVleet?

    Points leagues: Damian Lillard, 31.9 fantasy points per game to 31.3. 9-cat leagues: Fred VanVleet instead, 42nd overall against 136th, because the categories reward a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Damian Lillard or Fred VanVleet?

    Damian Lillard is ahead in 4 (points, rebounds, threes, field goal percentage); Fred VanVleet in 4 (assists, steals, free throw percentage, turnovers), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 4:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number