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Jabari Smith Jr. or Keegan Murray? Week 1

Who to start in fantasy basketball in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), PFs ranked 12th and 19th at the position, compared on 2025-26 and 2026-27 per-game production.

Updated Oct 22, 6:57 AM ET.

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FP/G
31.1
9-cat
#55
Last 1 FP
42.5

3 games in Week 1, 1 back-to-back

Week 1 pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

FP/G
28.7
9-cat
#98
Last 1 FP
9.8

3 games in Week 1

The Week 1 call

Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Jabari Smith Jr.. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 31.1 fantasy points to 28.7.

9-cat leagues: Jabari Smith Jr. again, 0.3 category value for the week to -2.4.

Jabari Smith Jr. has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on.

Jabari Smith Jr. played 36.5 minutes a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, in line with his 35.2 on the board.

Keegan Murray's minutes are down: 28.4 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 34.1 on the board.

This is the call for one lineup slot across the week, the way weekly-lock leagues play it. In a daily-lineup league, start whichever of the two plays that night, and both when they fit.

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Week 1 (Oct 19-25), side by side

This weekJabari Smith Jr.Keegan Murray
Games, Week 133
Games counted (left this week)22
Back-to-backs10
Games, Week 243
Minutes, last games36.5 (last 1)28.4 (last 1)
Minutes, board35.234.1
Shots per 36, last games16.810.2
InjuryNone listedNone listed
Projected fantasy points62.357.4
Projected 9-cat value0.3-2.4

Schedule: Jabari Smith Jr. Wed DAL, Fri @SAS, Sat @ATL. Keegan Murray Wed @LAC, Fri POR, Sun MEM.

Projected totals for the games counted

StatJabari Smith Jr.Keegan Murray
Points33.326.4
Rebounds13.511.3
Assists3.63.1
Steals1.62.1
Blocks1.72.9
Threes4.82.5
Turnovers2.72.2

Each projection is the board's per-game line times the games counted; a player listed Out counts none. 9-cat value is the per-game category score (z-scores against the top 156) times games. Minutes and shots per 36 come from the last 1 games of 2026-27. Schedule from the NBA's published slate via ESPN.

The season-long call

Points leagues: Jabari Smith Jr., 31.1 fantasy points per game to 28.7.

9-cat leagues: Jabari Smith Jr. again, 55th overall against 98th.

Per game, side by side

StatJabari Smith Jr.Keegan Murray
Fantasy points per game31.128.7
Minutes35.234.1
PointsPTS16.713.2
ReboundsREB6.85.6
AssistsAST1.81.5
StealsSTL0.81.0
BlocksBLK0.91.5
Threes3PM2.41.3
Field goal %FG%46.6%40.8%
Free throw %FT%77.8%77.6%
TurnoversTO1.31.1

Bold is the better number. Per-game lines blend last season with this one, the same numbers the rankings use.

Other close calls

Week 1 streamers · NBA waiver wire · Games per team this week

Is Jabari Smith Jr. playing tonight? · Is Keegan Murray playing tonight?

Your next move

Common questions

  • Should I start Jabari Smith Jr. or Keegan Murray in Week 1?

    Points leagues, Week 1 (Oct 19-25): start Jabari Smith Jr.. Both have 2 games left in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), so it comes down to per game: 31.1 fantasy points to 28.7. 9-cat leagues: Jabari Smith Jr. again, 0.3 category value for the week to -2.4. Jabari Smith Jr. has 1 back-to-back in Week 1, the nights rest days tend to land on. Jabari Smith Jr. played 36.5 minutes a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, in line with his 35.2 on the board. Keegan Murray's minutes are down: 28.4 a game over his last 1 game of 2026-27, against 34.1 on the board.

  • Who is better for the season, Jabari Smith Jr. or Keegan Murray?

    Points leagues: Jabari Smith Jr., 31.1 fantasy points per game to 28.7. 9-cat leagues: Jabari Smith Jr. again, 55th overall against 98th.

  • Who wins more categories, Jabari Smith Jr. or Keegan Murray?

    Jabari Smith Jr. is ahead in 5 (points, rebounds, assists, threes, field goal percentage); Keegan Murray in 3 (steals, blocks, turnovers), per game.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 6:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number