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Start Caleb Williams or Aaron Rodgers? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:36 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start

QB · CHI · vs NE

Market projects
18.8
fantasy pts
NE D vs QB
15.0
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
93%
Through Week 6
Sit

QB · PIT · at NO

Market projects
16.3
fantasy pts
NO D vs QB
17.1
16th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
98%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start Caleb Williams over Aaron Rodgers in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Caleb Williams at 18.8 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.3, a gap of 2.5. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 87 and Aaron Rodgers at 231.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 90 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 233 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 1 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (6, 6, 5 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 248 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 21 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 13, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Caleb Williams 2.5 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 17.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against NO, with 0.2 interceptions.

Caleb Williams and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 15.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 223 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 252 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams played 93 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board