Start Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start Dak Prescott over Caleb Williams in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 18.2 points and Caleb Williams at 18.8, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Dak Prescott still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 64 against 87, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Dak Prescott this week yet, so his 18.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (18.1 and 18.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.8 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Williams is 248 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 21 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (11, 13, 13 and 13 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Dak Prescott yet. His market-based projections were 18.1 and 18.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Caleb Williams 0.6 points ahead of Dak Prescott on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 15.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 223 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NE, with 0.6 interceptions.

Dak Prescott and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 19.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 248 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against PHI, with 0.6 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams played 93 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 111 times and threw an average of 6.4 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 2 against MIN: 64 of 74 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 42 yards.

Caleb Williams, Week 6 against ATL: 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 6, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 265 times and threw an average of 7.4 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 3 against BAL: 74 of 74 snaps, 25 of 40 passes for 276 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 19 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 4 against HOU: 78 of 78 snaps, 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 5 against TB: 60 of 60 snaps, 24 of 42 passes for 316 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start Caleb Williams over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Caleb Williams over Brock Purdy.
• Start Caleb Williams over C.J. Stroud.
• Start Dak Prescott over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Dak Prescott over Bo Nix.
• Start Dak Prescott over Brock Purdy.