Start Aaron Rodgers or Geno Smith? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers

Start

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 14.7; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs QB: 19.4; 10th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · at NO

Market projects: 13.3; recent weeks avg
NO D vs QB: 17.1; 16th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 98%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Geno Smith?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Geno Smith projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 142 (14.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 14.7 points and Aaron Rodgers at 13.3, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 14.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (15.2 and 14.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Rodgers this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (12.0 and 14.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 15.2 and 14.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 14.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Rodgers yet. His market-based projections were 12.0 and 14.5 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Geno Smith 1.4 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Geno Smith and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 226 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against MIA, with 0.6 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 17.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against NO, with 0.2 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 204 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 252 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Geno Smith?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Geno Smith projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 142 (14.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.
Should I drop Geno Smith for Aaron Rodgers?
No. Keep Geno Smith: he projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Aaron Rodgers 142 (14.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.