Start Cam Ward or Geno Smith? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Geno Smith over Cam Ward

Start

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 14.7; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs QB: 19.4; 10th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Cam Ward

QB · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 11.5; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB: 17.5; 15th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Cam Ward for Geno Smith?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Geno Smith projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Cam Ward 125 (12.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Cam Ward.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Geno Smith over Cam Ward in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 14.7 points and Cam Ward at 11.5, a gap of 3.2. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 14.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (15.2 and 14.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Cam Ward this week yet, so his 11.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (10.4 and 12.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 15.2 and 14.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 14.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Cam Ward yet. His market-based projections were 10.4 and 12.5 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Geno Smith 3.2 points ahead of Cam Ward on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Geno Smith and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 226 yards and 2.2 touchdowns a game against MIA, with 0.6 interceptions.

Cam Ward and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 17.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 15th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 240 yards and 2.0 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.8 interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Cam Ward is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 204 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Cam Ward played 100 percent of TEN snaps, dropped back 199 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Cam Ward, Week 3 against NYG: 60 of 60 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 181 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 4 against BAL: 64 of 64 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 27 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 5 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 170 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 6 against IND: 11 of 22 passes for 102 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Cam Ward played 17 games for TEN and scored 193.7 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing QB22.

He completed 323 of 540 passes for 3169 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 39 times for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Cam Ward for Geno Smith?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Geno Smith projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Cam Ward 125 (12.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Cam Ward.
Should I drop Geno Smith for Cam Ward?
No. Keep Geno Smith: he projects 151 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 10 games), Cam Ward 125 (12.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Geno Smith over Cam Ward.