Start Alvin Kamara or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET, set your lineup before then.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · vs IND · Questionable

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB: 26.8; 5th most to RBs (2026)

Sit

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs PIT · Questionable

Market projects: 10.6; recent weeks avg
PIT D vs RB: 22.5; 11th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 32%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 16.4 points and Alvin Kamara at 10.6, a gap of 5.9. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.6 and 16.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 10.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (10.3 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Aaron Jones Sr. at ADP 110 and Alvin Kamara at 164.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.2 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 10.3 and 10.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 10.6, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 5.9 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 26.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and a touchdown a game against IND and caught passes for 53 more yards.

Alvin Kamara and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 40 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a leg injury.

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Alvin Kamara played 32 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 15 of 2025 against DAL: 32 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 34 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 31 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Alvin Kamara?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 182 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.5 a game over 11 games), Alvin Kamara 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.