Should I drop Derrick Henry for Ashton Jeanty?

Not on these numbers alone. Derrick Henry projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games) and Ashton Jeanty 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty.

Start Derrick Henry or Ashton Jeanty? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty

Start

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects: 23.2; fantasy pts
CIN D vs RB: 18.6; 7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 94 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 58%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Sit

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · vs LAR

Market projects: 15.5; recent weeks avg
LAR D vs RB: 19.6; 12th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 60 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 70%; Through Week 6
Target share: 17%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Derrick Henry?

Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and Derrick Henry 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 23.2 points and Ashton Jeanty at 15.5, a gap of 7.8. Derrick Henry's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty this week yet, so his 15.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (15.8, 14.4 and 16.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Derrick Henry at ADP 15 and Ashton Jeanty at 25. Market coverage on Derrick Henry is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty yet. His market-based projections were 15.8, 14.5 and 16.1 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 15.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ashton Jeanty is 0.7 touchdowns (8 market sources).

Player markets imply 23.2 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 86 rushing yards and 1.1 touchdowns (5 and 10 market sources).

That puts Derrick Henry 7.8 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Ashton Jeanty and LV host LAR on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAR allowed 19.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 93 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against LAR and caught passes for 40 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ashton Jeanty has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Ashton Jeanty played 70 percent of LV snaps, took 66 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 44 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 5 against NE: 32 of 60 snaps, 10 carries for 27 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 50 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 6 against BUF: 38 of 66 snaps, 10 carries for 22 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Derrick Henry played 58 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 53 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Derrick Henry?
Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and Derrick Henry 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty.
Should I drop Derrick Henry for Ashton Jeanty?
Not on these numbers alone. Derrick Henry projects 170 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (17.0 a game over 10 games) and Ashton Jeanty 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty.