Start Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry

Start

Bijan Robinson

RB · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 26.1; recent weeks avg
SF D vs RB: 23.6; 10th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 17%; Through Week 6

Sit

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects: 18.4; recent weeks avg
CIN D vs RB: 18.6; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 58%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Bijan Robinson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (22.4 a game over 10 games), Derrick Henry 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bijan Robinson at 26.1 points and Derrick Henry at 18.4, a gap of 7.8. No player market is posted for Bijan Robinson this week yet, so his 26.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (30.8 and 21.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Derrick Henry this week yet, so his 18.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (21.3 and 15.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Bijan Robinson at ADP 2 and Derrick Henry at 15.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Bijan Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 30.8 and 21.5 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 26.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Derrick Henry yet. His market-based projections were 21.3 and 15.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 18.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Bijan Robinson 7.8 points ahead of Derrick Henry on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bijan Robinson and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 23.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 87 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against SF and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Derrick Henry and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Bijan Robinson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bijan Robinson is not on the injury report.

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bijan Robinson played 68 percent of ATL snaps, took 64 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 48 percent of the red zone chances.

Bijan Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 51 of 71 snaps, 29 carries for 194 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bijan Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 34 of 57 snaps, 19 carries for 145 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bijan Robinson, Week 5 against BAL: 52 of 64 snaps, 17 carries for 86 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 9 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -8 yards.

Through Week 6, Derrick Henry played 58 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 53 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 5 against ATL: 42 of 76 snaps, 24 carries for 102 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Bijan Robinson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bijan Robinson projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (22.4 a game over 10 games), Derrick Henry 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.
Should I drop Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry?
No. Keep Bijan Robinson: he projects 224 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (22.4 a game over 10 games), Derrick Henry 170 (17.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry.