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Start Jaylen Warren or Ashton Jeanty? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 5:11 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren

Jeanty projects lower, 15.5 to 17.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 25 for Jeanty, 62 for Warren.

Start

RB · LV · vs LAR

Market projects
15.5
recent weeks avg
LAR D vs RB
19.6
12th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
60 of 100 at RB
Snap share
70%
Through Week 6
Target share
17%
Through Week 6
Sit

RB · PIT · at NO

Market projects
17.2
fantasy pts
NO D vs RB
29.7
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
87 of 100 at RB
Snap share
76%
Through Week 6
Target share
14%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Jaylen Warren?

Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and Jaylen Warren 167 (16.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ashton Jeanty at 15.5 points and Jaylen Warren at 17.2, a gap of 1.7. Ashton Jeanty still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 25 against 62, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty this week yet, so his 15.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (15.8, 14.4 and 16.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Jaylen Warren, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Warren is 63 rushing yards, 26 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.8 touchdowns (12, 12, 9 and 13 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty yet. His market-based projections were 15.8, 14.5 and 16.1 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 15.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ashton Jeanty is 0.7 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Jaylen Warren 1.7 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jaylen Warren and PIT visit NO on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

NO allowed 29.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 117 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 31 more yards.

Ashton Jeanty and LV host LAR on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LAR allowed 19.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 93 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against LAR and caught passes for 40 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylen Warren has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylen Warren played 76 percent of PIT snaps, took 69 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Warren, Week 3 against CIN: 56 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 127 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 5 against IND: 52 of 60 snaps, 15 carries for 101 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jaylen Warren, Week 6 against TB: 59 of 79 snaps, 14 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 28 yards.

Through Week 6, Ashton Jeanty played 70 percent of LV snaps, took 66 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 44 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 5 against NE: 32 of 60 snaps, 10 carries for 27 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 50 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 6 against BUF: 38 of 66 snaps, 10 carries for 22 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Jaylen Warren?

    Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 163 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.3 a game over 10 games) and Jaylen Warren 167 (16.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren.

  • Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Ashton Jeanty?

    Not on these numbers alone. Jaylen Warren projects 167 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.7 a game over 10 games) and Ashton Jeanty 163 (16.3 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Jaylen Warren.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board