Start Braelon Allen or MarShawn Lloyd? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 3:51 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Lloyd projects lower, 9.0 to 13.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 125 for Lloyd, 180 for Allen.

Start

MarShawn Lloyd

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 9.0; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 48 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 39%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Sit

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 13.3; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB: 26.1; 4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 85 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 61%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Braelon Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Braelon Allen projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Braelon Allen. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Braelon Allen in Week 7.

Market-based projections have MarShawn Lloyd at 9.0 points and Braelon Allen at 13.3, a gap of 4.3. MarShawn Lloyd still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 125 against 180, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd this week yet, so his 9.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (5.4, 10.0 and 11.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Braelon Allen this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (11.1, 14.9 and 13.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Braelon Allen yet. His market-based projections were 11.1, 14.9 and 13.8 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd yet. His market-based projections were 5.4, 10.0 and 11.5 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 9.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 0-1 touchdowns (11 market sources).

That puts Braelon Allen 4.3 points ahead of MarShawn Lloyd on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Braelon Allen and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.1 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 101 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 39 more yards.

MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Braelon Allen played 61 percent of NYJ snaps, took 49 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 5 against CLE: 60 of 70 snaps, 24 carries for 116 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 54 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd played 39 percent of GB snaps, took 41 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 3 against ATL: 15 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 11 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 4 against TB: 33 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 13 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Braelon Allen?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Braelon Allen projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Braelon Allen. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Braelon Allen for MarShawn Lloyd?
No. Keep Braelon Allen: he projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.7 a game over 10 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Braelon Allen.