Start Brian Robinson or Kenny Gainwell? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 3:51 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Kenny Gainwell over Brian Robinson

Gainwell projects lower, 5.3 to 7.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 95 for Gainwell, 210 for Robinson.

Start

Kenny Gainwell

RB · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 5.3; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB: 25.7; 5th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 37 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 36%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Sit

Brian Robinson

RB · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 7.7; recent weeks avg
SF D vs RB: 22.9; 11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 39 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 31%; Through Week 6
Target share: 4%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Brian Robinson for Kenny Gainwell?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenny Gainwell projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Brian Robinson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Brian Robinson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 5.3 points and Brian Robinson at 7.7, a gap of 2.4. Kenny Gainwell still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 95 against 210, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (4.3, 5.3 and 6.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brian Robinson this week yet, so his 7.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.5, 8.3 and 8.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Brian Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 6.5, 8.3 and 8.4 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 7.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 4.3, 5.3 and 6.5 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Brian Robinson 2.4 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brian Robinson and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 22.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against SF and caught passes for 43 more yards.

Kenny Gainwell and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 25.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kenny Gainwell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brian Robinson is not on the injury report.

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brian Robinson played 31 percent of ATL snaps, took 31 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 19 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 50 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 24 of 57 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Brian Robinson, Week 5 against BAL: 14 of 64 snaps, 7 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 10 of 55 snaps, 2 carries for 1 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 6, Kenny Gainwell played 36 percent of TB snaps, took 12 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 11 of 74 snaps, 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Brian Robinson for Kenny Gainwell?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenny Gainwell projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Brian Robinson.
Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Brian Robinson?
No. Keep Kenny Gainwell: he projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Brian Robinson.