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Start Kenny Gainwell or Tyjae Spears? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 8:21 PM ET.

Start Kenny Gainwell over Tyjae Spears

Gainwell projects lower, 4.8 to 5.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 95 for Gainwell, 132 for Spears.

Start

Kenny Gainwell

RB · TB · at CAR

Market projects
4.8
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB
28.0
4th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
41%
Through Week 6
Target share
9%
Through Week 6
Sit

Tyjae Spears

RB · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects
5.2
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB
17.6
6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
44%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Tyjae Spears?

Not on these numbers alone. Kenny Gainwell projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 10 games) and Tyjae Spears 64 (6.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Tyjae Spears.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Tyjae Spears in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 4.8 points and Tyjae Spears at 5.2, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kenny Gainwell still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 95 against 132, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 4.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (4.3 and 5.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyjae Spears this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (5.4 and 5.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyjae Spears yet. His market-based projections were 5.4 and 5.0 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 4.3 and 5.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 4.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Tyjae Spears 0.4 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tyjae Spears and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 17.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and 0.2 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 19 more yards.

Kenny Gainwell and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 120 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 38 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kenny Gainwell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyjae Spears is not on the injury report.

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tyjae Spears played 44 percent of TEN snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyjae Spears, Week 3 against NYG: 28 of 60 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 4 against BAL: 23 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -1 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 5 against HOU: 34 of 63 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 9 targets and 9 catches for 28 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 6 against IND: 1 carry for 1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Through Week 6, Kenny Gainwell played 41 percent of TB snaps, took 12 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Tyjae Spears?

    Not on these numbers alone. Kenny Gainwell projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 10 games) and Tyjae Spears 64 (6.4 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Tyjae Spears.

  • Should I drop Tyjae Spears for Kenny Gainwell?

    Not on these numbers alone. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games) and Kenny Gainwell 61 (6.1 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Tyjae Spears.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board