Start Brian Robinson or Tyjae Spears? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 9:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Spears projects lower, 5.2 to 7.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 132 for Spears, 210 for Robinson.

Start

Tyjae Spears

RB · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 5.2; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB: 17.6; 6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 44%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Sit

Brian Robinson

RB · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 7.4; recent weeks avg
SF D vs RB: 23.6; 10th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share: 33%; Through Week 6
Target share: 4%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Brian Robinson for Tyjae Spears?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Brian Robinson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyjae Spears over Brian Robinson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyjae Spears at 5.2 points and Brian Robinson at 7.4, a gap of 2.2. Tyjae Spears still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 132 against 210, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Tyjae Spears this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (5.4 and 5.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brian Robinson this week yet, so his 7.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (6.5 and 8.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Brian Robinson yet. His market-based projections were 6.5 and 8.3 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tyjae Spears yet. His market-based projections were 5.4 and 5.0 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Brian Robinson 2.2 points ahead of Tyjae Spears on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Brian Robinson and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 23.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 87 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against SF and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Tyjae Spears and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 17.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and 0.2 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 19 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Robinson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brian Robinson is not on the injury report.

Tyjae Spears is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Brian Robinson played 33 percent of ATL snaps, took 31 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 19 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 50 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 24 of 57 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Brian Robinson, Week 5 against BAL: 14 of 64 snaps, 7 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 6 against CHI: 2 carries for 1 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 6, Tyjae Spears played 44 percent of TEN snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyjae Spears, Week 3 against NYG: 28 of 60 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 4 against BAL: 23 of 64 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -1 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 5 against HOU: 34 of 63 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 9 targets and 9 catches for 28 yards.

Tyjae Spears, Week 6 against IND: 1 carry for 1 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Brian Robinson for Tyjae Spears?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyjae Spears projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Brian Robinson.
Should I drop Tyjae Spears for Brian Robinson?
No. Keep Tyjae Spears: he projects 64 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.4 a game over 10 games), Brian Robinson 43 (4.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyjae Spears over Brian Robinson.