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Start Carnell Tate or Courtland Sutton? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 3:16 PM ET.

Start Courtland Sutton over Carnell Tate

Sutton projects lower, 9.2 to 11.1, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 60 for Sutton, 81 for Tate.

Start

WR · DEN · at ARI

Market projects
9.2
recent weeks avg
ARI D vs WR
37.0
7th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
78%
Through Week 6
Target share
16%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects
11.1
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR
36.0
10th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
82%
Through Week 6
Target share
27%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Carnell Tate?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Courtland Sutton 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Carnell Tate. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Courtland Sutton over Carnell Tate in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Courtland Sutton at 9.2 points and Carnell Tate at 11.1, a gap of 1.9. Courtland Sutton still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 60 against 81, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Courtland Sutton this week yet, so his 9.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (9.0 and 9.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Carnell Tate this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (11.8 and 10.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Carnell Tate yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 10.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Courtland Sutton yet. His market-based projections were 9.0 and 9.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 9.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Carnell Tate 1.9 points ahead of Courtland Sutton on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Carnell Tate and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 36.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 165 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CLE.

Courtland Sutton and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 37.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 157 yards and 2.0 touchdowns a game against ARI.

By points allowed to the position, Courtland Sutton has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Courtland Sutton is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 48 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Courtland Sutton played 78 percent of DEN snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Courtland Sutton, Week 3 against LAR: 58 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 46 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 4 against SF: 48 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 5 against LAC: 50 of 62 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Courtland Sutton, Week 6 against SEA: 46 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Carnell Tate?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Carnell Tate projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Courtland Sutton 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Carnell Tate. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

  • Should I drop Carnell Tate for Courtland Sutton?

    No. Keep Carnell Tate: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games), Courtland Sutton 92 (9.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Courtland Sutton over Carnell Tate.

Week 6 on the board

Elsewhere on the board