Start Luther Burden III or Carnell Tate? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 2:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Luther Burden III over Carnell Tate

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 12.7; recent weeks avg
NE D vs WR: 31.4; 16th most to WRs (2026)

Sit

Carnell Tate

WR · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 11.1; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR: 36.0; 10th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 82%; Through Week 6
Target share: 27%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Carnell Tate for Luther Burden III?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Luther Burden III projects 114 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Carnell Tate.

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Luther Burden III rookie cards Carnell Tate rookie cards

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Our Week 7 call

Start Luther Burden III over Carnell Tate in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 12.7 points and Carnell Tate at 11.1, a gap of 1.7. No player market is posted for Luther Burden III this week yet, so his 12.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (14.4 and 11.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Carnell Tate this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (11.8 and 10.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Carnell Tate at 81.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Luther Burden III yet. His market-based projections were 14.4 and 11.1 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 12.7, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Carnell Tate yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 10.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Luther Burden III 1.7 points ahead of Carnell Tate on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 31.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 138 yards and a touchdown a game against NE.

Carnell Tate and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 36.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 165 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CLE.

By points allowed to the position, Carnell Tate has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 48 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Carnell Tate for Luther Burden III?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Luther Burden III projects 114 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Carnell Tate.
Should I drop Luther Burden III for Carnell Tate?
No. Keep Luther Burden III: he projects 114 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Carnell Tate.