Start Chase Brown or Kendre Miller? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:21 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Start Chase Brown over Kendre Miller

Start

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at BAL

Market projects: 14.3; fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB: 18.5; 6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 63 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 70%; Through Week 5
Target share: 15%; Through Week 5

Sit

Kendre Miller

RB · NO · vs PIT

Market projects: 8.7; fantasy pts
PIT D vs RB: 20.4; 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 72 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 30%; Through Week 6
Target share: 4%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Kendre Miller for Chase Brown?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chase Brown projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), Kendre Miller 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Kendre Miller, 14.3 to 8.7 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Chase Brown over Kendre Miller in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Chase Brown at 14.3 points and Kendre Miller at 8.7, a gap of 5.5. Chase Brown's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Chase Brown is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.3 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chase Brown is 51 rushing yards and 0.7 touchdowns (9 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.7 fantasy points for Kendre Miller, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kendre Miller is 42 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (13 and 12 market sources).

That puts Chase Brown 5.5 points ahead of Kendre Miller on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 14 more yards.

Kendre Miller and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 20.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 35 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kendre Miller has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Kendre Miller is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Chase Brown played 70 percent of CIN snaps, took 65 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 5 against MIA: 39 of 65 snaps, 13 carries for 39 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards.

Through Week 6, Kendre Miller played 30 percent of NO snaps, took 39 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Kendre Miller, Week 3 against LV: 14 of 74 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Kendre Miller, Week 4 against ATL: 19 of 74 snaps, 6 carries for 9 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Kendre Miller, Week 5 against MIN: 14 of 45 snaps, 10 carries for 30 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kendre Miller, Week 6 against NYG: 32 of 72 snaps, 20 carries for 70 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kendre Miller played 7 games for NO and scored 33.3 PPR points, 4.8 a game, finishing RB79.

He ran 47 times for 193 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 5 of 5 targets for 30 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kendre Miller for Chase Brown?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Chase Brown projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), Kendre Miller 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Kendre Miller, 14.3 to 8.7 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Chase Brown for Kendre Miller?
No. Keep Chase Brown: he projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), Kendre Miller 62 (6.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Kendre Miller, 14.3 to 8.7 projected PPR points.