Start Chase Brown or Rhamondre Stevenson? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 10:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Chase Brown over Rhamondre Stevenson

Start

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at BAL

Market projects: 14.2; fantasy pts
BAL D vs RB: 18.5; 6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 61 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 70%; Through Week 5
Target share: 15%; Through Week 5

Sit

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · NE · at CHI

Market projects: 12.9; fantasy pts
CHI D vs RB: 17.0; 4th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 35 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 63%; Through Week 6
Target share: 11%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Rhamondre Stevenson for Chase Brown?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chase Brown projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), Rhamondre Stevenson 107 (10.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Rhamondre Stevenson, 14.2 to 12.9 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Chase Brown over Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Chase Brown at 14.2 points and Rhamondre Stevenson at 12.9, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chase Brown's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Chase Brown at ADP 16 and Rhamondre Stevenson at 61. Market coverage on Chase Brown is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.2 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Chase Brown is 51 rushing yards and 0.7 touchdowns (8 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.9 fantasy points for Rhamondre Stevenson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rhamondre Stevenson is 43 rushing yards, 19 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.7 touchdowns (12, 8, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Chase Brown 1.3 points ahead of Rhamondre Stevenson on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against BAL and caught passes for 14 more yards.

Rhamondre Stevenson and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 17.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 79 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against CHI and caught passes for 23 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Chase Brown has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Rhamondre Stevenson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Chase Brown played 70 percent of CIN snaps, took 65 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 5 against MIA: 39 of 65 snaps, 13 carries for 39 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards.

Through Week 6, Rhamondre Stevenson played 63 percent of NE snaps, took 40 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 3 against JAX: 33 of 63 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 4 against BUF: 50 of 76 snaps, 13 carries for 47 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards, 1 touchdown.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 5 against LV: 53 of 75 snaps, 13 carries for 64 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards, 1 touchdown.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 6 against NYJ: 41 of 68 snaps, 14 carries for 36 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Rhamondre Stevenson played 14 games for NE and scored 178.8 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing RB25.

He ran 130 times for 603 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 32 of 37 targets for 345 yards.

He was on the field for 60 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Rhamondre Stevenson for Chase Brown?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Chase Brown projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), Rhamondre Stevenson 107 (10.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Rhamondre Stevenson, 14.2 to 12.9 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Chase Brown for Rhamondre Stevenson?
No. Keep Chase Brown: he projects 155 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 11 games), Rhamondre Stevenson 107 (10.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Chase Brown over Rhamondre Stevenson, 14.2 to 12.9 projected PPR points.